Thursday, September 26, 2024

Intuit Inc. Consolidated Cash Flow Statement Analysis

Intuit Inc., consolidated cash flow statement

US$ in millions

 

12 Month period

31/07/2024

31/07/2023

31/07/2022

31/07/2021

31/07/2020

 

Net Income

2963

2384

2066

2062

1826

Add

Depreciation

159

160

187

166

189

Add

Amortization of intangible Assets

630

646

559

197

29

Add

Non cash operating lease cost

81

90

83

62

60

Add

Share based compensation expense

1940

1712

1308

753

435

Add

Other

92

81

2

(39)

6

Less

Deferred Income taxes

554

628

120

(42)

(179)

 

Changes in Operating Assets and liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net cash provided by operating activities

4884

5046

3889

3250

2414

 

Net cash used in investing activities

(227)

(922)

(5421)

(3965)

(97)

 

Net cash provided by financing activities

(397)

(4269)

1732

(3176)

2034

 

Net increase in cash,cash equivalents ,restricted cash

4247

(145)

178

(3878)

4345

 

Cash equivalents at the end of period

7099

2852

2997

2819

6697

 

 

 

 

 

Analysis

Free cash flow is positive (Total netcash flow from operating activities -Capital Expenditure). So company is going good.

 

Percent growth 2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

Year on year growth on Net cash provided by operating activities

 

-3%

30%

20%

35%

4%

Net cash from operating Activities are positive and Intuit Inc reported average 22.5% growth in operating activities other than year 2024(-3% growth) . In year 2023,2022,2021 company reported higher growth in Net cash from operating activities.

 

Source: https://www.stock-analysis-on.net, Form 10 K 07/31/2024

 

 

Wednesday, September 18, 2024

Intuit Inc. Dividend Discount Model Valuation

Intuit Inc. offers to shareholders dividend of $3.60 per year at dividend yield of 0.63%. That means for every $100 investment shareholder gets dividend at $0.63. Intuit Inc. declares dividend on quarterly basis and company s dividend payout raised for 11 consecutive years. Management of the company is good as about 65% of its earnings reinvested in the business and delivering consistent dividend growth.

Dividend Growth table

 

1 year

3 years

5 years

10 years

Annualized Growth %

15.38%

15.11%

13.88%

16.83%

 

US$ in millions, except per share data, based on values on 09/10/2024

Year

Value

DPS or Terminal Value

Present Value at 15.73%

0

DPS0

3.60

 

1

DPS1

4.04 = 3.60 x (1+12.16%)

3.49

2

DPS2

4.54 = 4.04 x (1+ 12.89%)

3.40

3

DPS3

5.18 = 4.56 x (1+ 13.61%)

3.34

4

DPS4

5.92 = 5.18 x (1+14.34%)

3.30

5

DPS5

6.81 = 5.92 x (1+15.06%)

3.28

5

Terminal Value (TV5)

1186.55 = 6.81 x (1+15.06%) / (15.33% - 12.06%)

571.68

Intrinsic value of Intuit Inc. common stock (per share)

$588.49

Current share price on 09/10/2024

$626.99

Based on Form 10 K 07/31/2024

Required rate of Return

Assumptions

Rate of return on LT Treasury Composite(Rf)

4.04%

Expected rate of return on market portfolio(E(RM)

13.85%

Systematic risk of Intuit Inc. Common stock (β)

1.19

Required rate of return on Intuit Inc. Common Stock (r)

Calculation : Rf + β(E(RM)- (Rf) = 4.04% +1.19[13.85% - 4.04%]

15.73%

 

DIVIDEND Growth rate (G) Forecast

Intuit Inc. H-Model

Year

Value

gt

1

g1 (PRAT Model)

12.16%

2

g2 (Linear Interpolation)

12.89%

3

g3 (Linear Interpolation)

13.61%

4

g4 (Linear Interpolation)

14.34%

5 and thereafter

g5 (Gordon Growth Model)

15.06%

 

 

 

Dividend Growth rate (G) implied by GORDON GROWTH MODEL

g = 100 X (P0 X r   D0) (P0 + D0)

= 100 X ($626.99 X 15.73%   $3.60) ($626.99 + $3.60)

15.06%

 

Source: https://www.stock-analysis-on.net, Form 10 K 07/31/2024

 

Friday, September 13, 2024

Intuit Inc. Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)

US$ in millions, except per share data, based on values on 09/10/2024

 

Year

Value

FCFE or Terminal Value

Present Value at 15.70%

0

FCFE0

4,801

 

1

FCFE1

5,243 = 4,801 x (1+9.21%)

4,546

2

FCFE2

5,767 = 5,243 x (1+ 9.99%)

4,336

3

FCFE3

6,388 = 5,767 x (1+ 10.76%)

4,164

4

FCFE4

7,124 = 6,388 x (1+11.53%)

4,027

5

FCFE5

8,001 = 7,124 x (1+12.31%)

3,922

5

Terminal Value (TV5)

297,427 = 8,001 x (1+12.31%) / (15.33% - 12.31%)

145,783

Intrinsic value of Intuit Inc.

166,778

Less : Debt

6,052

Intrinsic value of Intuit Inc. common stock

16,0726

Intrinsic value of Intuit Inc. common stock (per share)

$573.42

Current share price on 09/10/2024

$615.12

Source: Form 10 K 07/31/2024

Weighted Average Cost of Capital

US$ in millions, share price on 09/10/2024

 

Value

Weight

Required rate of return

Equity

No of shares x Current share price =280,292,000 x $615.12

0.97

15.74%

Debt

6,052

0.03

3.73% =weighted average interest rate x (1 -Tax rate) = 4.56% x(1- 18.16%)

WACC = 15.33%

= 0.97 X15.74% + 0.03 X3.73%

 

FCFF Growth rate (G) Forecast

Intuit Inc. H-Model

Year

Value

g

1

g1 (PRAT Model)

9.21%

2

g2 (Linear Interpolation)

10.00%

3

g3 (Linear Interpolation)

10.79%

4

g4 (Linear Interpolation)

11.57%

5

g5 (Single stage model)

12.36%

 

 

Source: https://www.stock-analysis-on.net , Form 10 K 07/31/2024

 

Friday, September 6, 2024

Intuit Inc., free cash flow to equity (FCFE) forecast

 

 

   US$ in millions, except per share data, based on values on 09/06/2024

Year

Value

FCFE or Terminal Value

Present Value at 15.70%

0

FCFE0

4,545

 

1

FCFE1

5,098 = 4545 x (1+12.16%)

4,406

2

FCFE2

5,725 = 5098 x (1+ 12.31%)

4,277

3

FCFE3

6,439 = 5725 x (1+ 12.46%)

4,157

4

FCFE4

7,251 = 6439 x (1+12.61%)

4,046

5

FCFE5

8,177 = 7251 x (1+12.77%)

3,944

5

Terminal Value (TV5)

314,197 = 8177 x (1+12.77%) / (15.70% - 12.77%)

151,540

 Intrinsic value of Intuit  Inc.

172,370

Intrinsic value of Intuit Inc. common stock (per share)

$614.96

Current share price on 09/06/2024

$623.10

 

Required rate of Return

Assumptions

Rate of return on LT Treasury Composite(Rf)

4.10%

Expected rate of return on market portfolio(E(RM)

13.84%

Systematic risk of Intuit Inc. Common stock  (β)

1.19

Required rate of return on Intuit Inc. Common Stock (r)

Calculation :  Rf + β(E(RM)- (Rf) = 4.10% +1.19[13.84% - 4.10%]

15.70%

 

FCFE Growth rate (G) Forecast

Intuit Inc. H-Model

Year

Value

g

1

g1 (PRAT Model)

12.16%

2

g2 (Linear Interpolation)

12.31%

3

g3 (Linear Interpolation)

12.46%

4

g4 (Linear Interpolation)

12.61%

5

g5 (Single stage model)

12.77%

 

2024 Calculations

Retention rate = (Net income – Dividends and dividend rights declared) ÷ Net income

= (2,963 – 1,041) ÷ 2,963

= 0.65

 

Profit margin = 100 × Net income ÷ Net revenue

= 100 × 2,963 ÷ 16,285

= 18.19%

 

Asset turnover = Net revenue ÷ Total assets

= 16,285 ÷ 32,132

= 0.51

 

Financial leverage = Total assets ÷ Stockholders’ equity

= 32,132 ÷ 18,436

= 1.74

 

g = Retention rate × Profit margin × Asset turnover × Financial leverage

= 0.66 × 19.86% × 0.56 × 1.66

= 12.16%

 

Source: https://www.stock-analysis-on.net

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