Tuesday, October 15, 2024

Microsoft Corporation : Intrinsic Value using Free Cashflow to the Equity

 

About Microsoft Corporation

Microsoft is a technology company whose mission is to empower every person and every organization on the planet to achieve more. Microsoft strive to create local opportunity, growth, and impact in every country around the world. Microsoft is creating the platforms and tools, powered by artificial intelligence ( AI ), that deliver better, faster, and more effective solutions to support small and large business competitiveness, improve educational and health outcomes, grow public-sector efficiency, and empower human ingenuity. From infrastructure and data, to business applications and collaboration, company provide unique, differentiated value to customers.

 

FCFE Details of Microsoft Corporation shown below, US$ in millions, except per share data, based on values on 10/14/2024

Year

Value

FCFE or Terminal Value

Present Value at 12.86%

0

FCFE0

89,311

89,311

1

FCFE1

111,888

89,311

2

FCFE2

135,810

75,943

3

FCFE3

147,476

91,025

4

FCFE4

167,518

88,585

5

FCFE5

183,784

113,631

5

Terminal Value (TV5)

6400,934

349,772

Intrinsic value of Microsoft Corporation

$3956,270

Market cap of Microsoft Corporation

$3.115 Trillion

Intrinsic value of Microsoft Corporation common stock (per share)

$532

Current share price on 10/14/2024

$419

 

Required rate of Return

Assumptions

Rate of return on LT Treasury Composite(Rf)

4.36%

Expected rate of return on market portfolio(E(RM)

13.81%

Systematic risk of Intuit Inc. Common stock (β)

0.54

Required rate of return on Intuit Inc. Common Stock (r)

Calculation : Rf + β(E(RM)- (Rf) = 4.36% +0.9[13.81% - 4.36%]

12.86%

 

FCFE Growth rate (G) Forecast

Microsoft Corporation. H-Model

Year

Value

g

1

g1 (PRAT Model)

25.28%

2

g2 (Linear Interpolation)

21.38%

3

g3 (Linear Interpolation)

17.45%

4

g4 (Linear Interpolation)

13.6%

5

g5 (Single stage model)

9.7%

 

2023 Calculations

Retention rate

72.63%

Gross Profit Margin

68.9%

Profit margin

34.14%

Asset turnover

51.43%

Financial leverage

2

Return on Invested Capital

39.68%

EPS

11.86

PE Ratio

35.34

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sources :Form 10K of Microsoft Corporation for the fiscal year 2023, Microsoft 2023 Annual Report, https://www.stock-analysis-on.net/ , https://finance.yahoo.com/ , https://companiesmarketcap.com/

 

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